Saturday, May 31, 2014

PRISONER EXCHANGE

U.S. soldier Bergdahl freed from captivity in Afghanistan


Forwarded from the secret Special Forces unauthorized back channel frequency:

"We were at OP Mest, Paktika Province, Afghanistan. It was a small outpost where B Co 1-501st INF (Airbone) ran operations out of, just an Infantry platoon and ANA counterparts there. The place was an Afghan graveyard. Bergdahl had been acting a little strange, telling people he wanted to "walk the earth" and kept a little journal talking about how he was meant for better things. No one thought anything about it. He was a little “out there”. Next morning he's gone. We search everywhere, and can't find him. He left his weapon, his kit, and other sensitive items. He only took some water, a compass and a knife. We find some afghan kids shortly after who saw an american walking north asking about where the taliban are. We get hits on our voice intercepter that Taliban has him, and we were close. We come to realize that the kid deserted his post, snuck out of camp and sought out Taliban… to join them. We were in a defensive position at OP Mest, where your focus is to keep people out. He knew where the blind spots were to slip out and that's what he did. It was supposed to be a 4-day mission but turned into several months of active searching. Everyone was spun up to find this guy. News outlets all over the country were putting out false information. It was hard to see, especially when we knew the truth about what happened and we lost good men trying to find him. PFC Matthew Michael Martinek, Staff Sgt. Kurt Robert Curtiss, SSG Clayton Bowen, PFC Morris Walker, SSG Michael Murphrey, 2LT Darryn Andrews, were all KIA from our unit who died looking for Bergdahl. Many others from various units were wounded or killed while actively looking for Bergdahl. Fighting Increased. IEDs and enemy ambushes increased. The Taliban knew that we were looking for him in high numbers and our movements were predictable. Because of Bergdahl, more men were out in danger, and more attacks on friendly camps and positions were conducted while we were out looking for him. His actions impacted the region more than anyone wants to admit. There is also no way to know what he told the Taliban: Our movements, locations, tactics, weak points on vehicles and other things for the enemy to exploit are just a few possibilities. The Government knows full well that he deserted. It looks bad and is a good propaganda piece for the Taliban. They refuse to acknowledge it. Hell they even promoted him to Sergeant which makes me sick. I feel for his family who only want their son/brother back. They don’t know the truth, or refuse to acknowledge it as well. What he did affected his family and his whole town back home, who don’t know the truth. Either way what matters is that good men died because of him. He has been lying on all those Taliban videos about everything since his “capture”. If he ever returns, he should be tried under the UCMJ for being a deserter and judged for what he did. Bergdahl is not a hero, he is not a soldier or an Infantryman. He failed his brothers. Now, sons and daughters are growing up without their fathers who died for him and he will have to face that truth someday."

STORMBRINGER SENDS

NY Times on Father Emil Kapaun

A picture of the Rev. Emil J. Kapaun that hangs in the school named in his honor shows him using the hood of his jeep as an altar as his assistant, Patrick J. Schuler, knelt in prayer in Korea. The picture was taken on Oct. 7, 1950, by Col. Raymond A. Skeehan.
The New York Times religion section has a wonderful story about Fr. Emil Kapaun today. He was both secular hero, given the Medal of Honor by President Obama, and will likely (in my opinion) be declared a saint by the Catholic Church for, literally, giving of his life to help his fellow prisoners during the Korean War.

My children went to Kapaun High School. The memorial to Fr. Kapaun in the school's rotunda is simultaneously uplifting and sobering. One wonders how he could physically do everything he did in the prison camp. Clearly, God was with him.


Hat tip: Roy Wenzl of the Wichita Eagle who has done outstanding work in reporting the story of Fr. Kapaun's life. There are many more stories about Fr. Kapaun here.

Weekend Severe Weather Outlook

Today and Tonight:
Fifteen percent is the significant threshold. This is where damaging winds of 60 mph or more are forecast to occur along with large hail.

Sunday and Sunday night:
Again, the significant threshold is 15%. The hatched area is where hail 2" in diameter and wind gusts of 75 mph are possible.

More severe thunderstorms are forecast next week. Stay tuned.

A Great Book For Father's Day


There are few things that bring more pleasure than a great book. This is especially true when on vacation. So, get Dad a book with an uplifting, true story that he'll love wherever he happens to be.

Friday, May 30, 2014

Some Thoughts About Entrpreneurship

Recently, there have been a number of articles about the rapidly diminishing rate of formation of new businesses in the U.S. I guess because I have been a successful entrepreneur, I have been asked, several times, about this. While I don't consider myself an expert in business, I agree with expert David Mitchell's comments.

Rainfall Amount Forecasts

Below is the rainfall amount forecast for the next seven days:
U.S. National Weather Service
Taking things out an additional three days, here is the European Model's ten day rainfall forecast:
Dr. Ryan Maue
It is my opinion the wet pattern for the central Plains will continue to at least the 15th of June, a few days beyond the European map.

"Heads Up" for Next Week

Forecaster Evie has been diligently studying the latest weather information and soil saturation data and wants to let you know that she is very concerned about severe thunderstorms (tornado, large hail, damaging straight-line winds) and flooding developing next week, especially in the central third of the U.S.

It has been a mild spring weather-wise, so don't be lulled into complacency. Evie, assistant forecaster Elmo, and I will be keeping an eye on things and will provide plenty of updates here on the blog.

AccuWeather Adds MinuteCast™ Capability in Canada

More here.

Needed Rains; Unneeded Rains

Seven day forecast rainfall. South and west of the Missouri River, most of the rain is needed and helpful. To the east? Not so much.

Thursday, May 29, 2014

Global Warming: Is There Anything It Can't Do??

Now, it is sun kinks on railroad tracks:
They are called "sun" kinks for a reason. It is the sun that excessively heats the rails more than just the temperatures.

Yesterday, it was global warming causes more infidelity. Today, sun kinks. Tomorrow, it will be
green monsters from outer space.

ADDITION:
Over on Facebook, I heard from a climate scientist who questioned whether the sun could heat exposed metal rails to a higher temperature than the air temperature. The answer is absolutely, yes! Because meteorologists want to measure the temperature of the air, official thermometers are sheltered from the sun by putting them into louvered boxes painted white. An example is below.

Otherwise, the thermometer would be measuring the radiant heat of the sun rather than the temperature of the air. I suspect that Climate Central, like our climatologist friend and so many other climatologists, don't know the basics of meteorology which is why so many incorrect statements are made.
NOAA

IF THEY EVER PUT ME IN CHARGE . . .

If they ever put me in charge there'd be a few changes around here quick-smart. First priority of business is National Security, Energy-Independence and Pay-Down-The-Debt - which are really all the same thing when you think about it.

National Security Policy: The blood of our Warrior Class is too precious to waste on wandering into senseless conflicts for altruistic Kumbaya-motivated themes. From this point onward, the American War Machine will be engaged discriminately but decisively on the places where the Evildoers dwell. It will only take one or two cities reduced to rubble brick by brick to get the message out on the street that the Americans do NOT f*ck around and so therefore do NOT f*ck with them.


We won't even have to use nuclear force or B-52 arc-light strikes to achieve this. I suggest artillery, tanks plus a healthy compliment of Marines and Army Infantry and some AC-120 Spectre gunship missions just for the visual effect if nothing else. Word will get out on the street: do NOT f*ck with the Americans.



Energy Independence Policy: “Drill, Baby, Drill!” Drill everywhere from the ANWAR to off the coast of California to the Bakken Formation to the Gulf. Frack the hell out of the shale for all the natural gas, build a hundred Keystone pipelines, do it all.


Make America such a producer of oil and natural gas we’ll put the Arabs out of business. Millions of jobs will be created and the tax revenues will put a dent in the National Debt, speaking of which . . .

The National Debt is a crushing burden that our grandchildren and great-grandchildren will be paying off if we do not reverse current trends.

Pay-Down-The-Debt Policy An immediate across-the-board ten percent reduction on the Federal budget. I’m not talking one of those phony baloney budget “cuts” where it’s a ten percent cut out of next years increase, no. I’m talking a legitimate ten percent cut across the board – there is so much waste, fraud and abuse in the Federal bureaucracy they’ll never miss it. Couple that with a maximum tax rate of 30% - which will result in more $$$ in people’s pockets and the resulting economic boom = increased tax revenues and we will pay off that National debt in ten years.

Immigration Policy: The ‘Undocumented Workers’ situation is so far out of control - when I immigrated here they were called ‘Illegal Aliens’ – nowadays that phrase is on the Verboten List - my, my, my how times have changed. Shipping them all out would be a logistical nightmare and our country would look like the Third Reich – it’s simply not going to happen. But ‘Amnesty’ is something you do for criminals and any criminals amongst our ‘Undocumented’ ones NEED to be shipped out.

Many of the illegals have been here so long they've picked up the American culture. This young lady here is showing us the Hawaiian Good Luck Sign.

Here’s my solution for the Immigration Problem: all the ‘Undocumented Workers’ need to line up and get DOCUMENTED (I know what a concept, right?) Anybody sneaking across the border and everybody already here who got here that way gets an electronic card with a smart chip in it. You can’t work, you can’t open a bank account, you can’t get a credit card, nothing, without this card. AND you get taxed. You’ve got FIVE YEARS to make your pile and then GO BACK TO WHERE YOU CAME FROM. The time is long overdue we make our immigration laws mirror the immigration laws of the lands the illegal immigrants came from. And another thing - any ‘anchor babies’ you have while you’re here GO BACK WITH YOU – we are the only country on Earth that allows people to show up illegally and if they have a kid its like they won the frikkin lottery. If I were put in charge the free ride would come to a crashing halt.

There would be a Pathway to Citizenship, and it would involve military service. Just like in Ancient Rome. For those who cannot serve due to age or physical condition, if they've been here for more than ten years and can prove they've been paying taxes for all that time, we'll work a deal. Any criminal records - whether here or in the old country - is grounds for immediate exportation. No ifs ands or buts about it.

Crime and Punishment Sheriff Joe Arpaio would be the Attorney General. Prison overcrowding? Hell, if I was President there wouldn’t be a Death Row there’d be a Death Week. In fact I’d be able to introduce my invention the Electric Bleachers. Prison problem solved.

School Shootings Epidemic: Make gun ownership & semi-annual marksmanship qualification an absolute requirement to get a teachers license plus open carry for teachers in schools. This would solve the situation immediately.

Gay Marriage: When a man can lay down with another man, or a woman lay down with another woman, and produce a baby, then I will support Gay Marriage. In the meantime it is a fallacy. Why should society endorse Gay Marriage? There is no social benefit whatsoever. The very thought that the Gay movement is the new Civil Rights movement is an insult to the Blacks, who were severely oppressed.


There is no gay DNA – to this day it is not known whether to be gay is genetic or is it a sexual kink. This simply is not known. Personally I think it’s a kink, but nobody really knows. One thing we do know is that every kid wants a Mom and a Dad. Kids have been raised in gay relationships, due to unforeseen circumstances, but this should be the exception not the rule.

Welfare: Starting immediately, a clean drug test will be required to qualify for any kind of public dole. And as long as you're on the dole, you can't vote. Just like we don't let prisoners vote.

Voter's Rights: The voter franchise is only open to land-owning taxpayers. Just like in Ancient Rome. You have to have some skin in the game in order to play. Of course, in the modern world there are many productive members of society who do not own real estate - that's okay; if you own stock in a corporation, then you own real estate by proxy.

The jury is still out on any possible medical uses for marijuana. In the meantime everybody knows these so-called 'Medical Marijuana' distribution centers have more to do with Cheech and Chong than any kind of medical research.


We'll handle it this way: until the Food and Drug Administration and the AMA endorse cannabis, any use of so-called "medical marijuana" will negate any medical insurance - because everybody knows the harmful side effects of marijuana - and will also cancel out any Federal benefits such as Medicare.


That about covers it for now. One term in office is all I’d need . . .

STORMBRINGER SENDS

Review: MOVE Live on Tour

Jullianne and Derek Hough opened their national tour in Wichita yesterday evening and it was great fun. The show is Vegas-y in a good way. Well produced and executed with plenty of audience interaction. My only complaint is the mildly risqué jokes between the two stars seem awkward when done by brother and sister.

I see that most of the upcoming shows are sold out, but if you do not have your tickets yet, I have a couple of recommendations.
Get tickets on the floor (they go into the audience) or in elevated seats farther back in the center. We were off to the side and, while we had a great view, a number of the "bits" were hard to see from the side.

Do not sit in the first 2 to three rows. Their stage is higher than some and I imagine it would be uncomfortable to see the entire stage.

I give MOVE 4.5 stars.

Global Warming: Is There Anything It Can't Do?!?!

A new report blames global warming for 
rising rates of infidelity

Yes, this story is real. Of course, we know that Democrats in the U.S. House blame global warming for prostitution.

I wonder, when Al and Tipper broke up, if Al tried to rationalize his infidelity by telling Tipper, "global warming made me to it."?

Wednesday, May 28, 2014

Lightning Safety!!



Watch the entire video, first…I'll wait.

The lightning struck him and the pavement. You can see pieces of pavement and dust launched by the force of the lightning bolt. The lightning disabled his car's electronics.

From the video, it appears to me the bolt came from the thunderstorm's anvil (interesting explanation here) away from where the rain was falling.

Sunday, I was in my backyard photographing thunderclouds and I heard the familiar "zip" sound of  "anvil crawler" lightning overhead. While most anvil crawlers are horizontal (see below), they sometime induce cloud to ground lightning and they are nearly impossible to see in full daylight. I walked very quickly back into the house because it is not safe to be under anvil crawlers. An example of a cloud-to-ground bolt induced by an anvil crawler is below.
Wikipedia, click to enlarge
The rule is, "if thunder roars go indoors." I would add if you hear a sound like "zipping" overhead, go indoors also!

Tornado Approaching? What to Do?

Caution: Unfortunate, strong language. 

Many people have sent this video from Monday in North Dakota where a tornado struck a "man camp" -- a compound of mobile homes used by oil workers. There was no tornado shelter.

In a case like this, my recommendation would be to drive south (90°) away from the tornado that was approaching from the west. Here's why:
  • There was no tornado shelter.
  • A new model pickup truck (with airbags) is safer than a mobile home. Both can roll but a pickup has no refrigerators, sofas, etc. to fall on top of you.
  • It is rural area with no traffic, so a reasonable escape speed could be attained relative to the speed of the tornado.
Important note: I would not recommend fleeing in every instance. But, since I was asked what I would do in this situation, that is my suggestion.  

Seven Day Rainfall Forecast

The slow moving low pressure system that brought the needed rains (below) to the drought region is expected to bring as much as seven additional inches to Louisiana.  The weather pattern is shifting to one of thunderstorms in the northern Plains this weekend and the first of the week.

Below is the observed rainfall for the past seven days. While more rain is needed in most areas, this is the first significant relief in months.

Tuesday, May 27, 2014

THE FALLEN

Maybe THIS will help explain it . . .

The two flags on the right are covering the bodies of two American soldiers, that paid the ultimate price and gave the ultimate sacrifice . . .

. . . MEMORIAL DAY IS FOR THEM




Wrapped in the American flags they carried into battle . . .

"Victory, or Death"

. . . literally



- R E S P E C T -


STORMBRINGER SENDS

Forecaster Evie Has a Summer Reading Recommendation

While an accomplished forecaster who correctly forecast some of this spring's tornadoes, she wants to read about heroic meteorologists who have saved tens of thousands of lives by creating America's unique storm warning system. It is uplifting, fascinating reading -- Evie wouldn't bother with anything else! You can get your copy here.

[500] Days Till Perpetual Summer

Since posting an item on Facebook about Secretary of State John Kerry and the French President's claim that we only have 500 days left until the climate apparently goes Ka-Blooey (actually we are now down to 482 days, 12 hours, and 30 minutes) a number of you have written asking if I could put a countdown clock on the blog. Just want to let you know I am looking into it.

Meanwhile, you might want to stock up on popcorn and your favorite beverage as 2015's crop will not be in before September 21, 2015, the "climate chaos" (their words) caused by global warming day. It should be fun to watch!

More Tax Dollars Spent on Global Warming Nonsense

The U.S. is trillions of dollars in debt and we are spending money on this?

Today's Texas Tornado Risk

Five percent is the significant threshold and it includes the DFW Metroplex, Austin and San Antonio. Keep up on the weather in these areas today.

How Radar Can Mis-Position Tornadoes

We've covered this topic one other time but a comment made on the air last week makes me think it is important to mention it again.
Two yellow lines represent the radar beam -- where the radar is sensing the tornado.
We often see "street-level" radar displaying tornado locations. When close to the radar (within about 15 miles) with the radar being operated properly, they are reasonably (not precisely) accurate.

However, at any significant distance, it is invalid to try to get the location down to a couple of blocks. Tornadoes are often not completely vertical nor is the earth's surface straight. The earth curves out from under the radar's beam so that when it is 120 miles away, the beam is about 10,000 ft. above the ground. At that distance, the tornadoes ground location may be a few miles from where the radar is sensing it.

To viewers: do not rely too precisely on television radar displays for tornado locations.

Television meteorologists: do not try to do more with your radar than it is capable of.

Monday, May 26, 2014

Yawn...

Yes, we are tipsy from tipping points.

"Time is running out," WMO Secretary-General Michel Jarraud said in a statement.

"This should serve as yet another wake-up call about the constantly rising levels of greenhouse gases which are driving climate change. If we are to preserve our planet for future generations, we need urgent action to curb new emissions of these heat-trapping gases."

Almost 200 governments have agreed to work out a deal by the end of 2015 to slow climate change as part of efforts to limit the average temperature increase to two degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial times.

Temperatures have already risen about 0.8C (1.4F).


"Temperatures have already risen about 0.8°C" -- as if that is a bad thing. If temperatures had not risen we would never have been able to feed the world's current population. Mass starvation would have resulted. 

In addition to its scientific obtuseness, Big Climate refuses to even discuss all of the good things warmer temperatures and more CO2 have brought and will bring. Even greater crop yields, less energy use for heating, fewer deaths (far more people die from cold than heat), etc., etc.

Again: Global warming is not "no" problem. But, it has benefits and it is not the unmitigated catastrophe that Big Climate would have you believe. After all, if it is not a catastrophe their dollars stop flowing.

Two Texas Tornado Watches

West Texas:

Southeast Texas and it includes Houston:

Climate Science Starting to Come Around?

Maybe, but it is very, very slow. Clearly, the "raise carbon dioxide and the atmosphere warms correspondingly" hypothesis is completely falsified by 17 years of no warming while CO2 continued its rise.

Climate scientist Dr. Judith Curry today writes:

It would be great for science, and even for policy, if climate scientists would stop focusing solely on CO2-forced climate change, and look at natural internal variability and how this interacts with external forcing – both slow (e.g. solar or CO2) and fast (e.g. volcanoes).  The big issue of scientific interest (not to mention policy relevance) is abrupt climate change.  I don’t really regard the climate shifts of 1976 and 2001 to be ‘abrupt climate change’, although by some definitions these qualify.  These climate shifts are certainly of great interest and significance in and of themselves, and there are some hypotheses on the table regarding how to predict the next shift (e.g. stadium wave).
JC conclusions
The science of climate change on decadal to century timescales most definitely is not settled, in spite of the IPCC’s highly confident proclamations.  There are so many interesting and unsolved issues in climate dynamics.  At this point, climate science seems relatively irrelevant for energy policies – the goals of carbon mitigation are in place, and whether anything meaningful can be achieved in the near term is doubtful.  However, climate scientists are (in the words of Pointman)  in a hurry towards some finishing line only they could see, and acted accordingly.  I suspect that the IPCC becoming less and less relevant to the UNFCCC agenda.
I’m hoping that at some point soon, climate scientists will get fed up with trying to play politics with their science and get back to researching and debating these fundamentally interesting and unsolved issues in the science of climate dynamics, rather than attacking their colleagues for suggesting that there are other ways of thinking about climate change.
The bold-type emphasis is mine. Yes, it is long past time for climate 'science' to get out of politics and revisit the basics of climate, especially volcanoes and, most especially, solar.

Seven-Day Rainfall

Lots of rain has fallen to ease the drought:

Flooding and Today's Tornado Threat in Texas

The five percent area is the significant threshold for tornadoes.

Over the next seven days, as much as 8 inches of rain are forecast to fall in southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana. This area is not in a drought and it may cause flooding.

THE PATH OF THE WARRIOR

This is extremely powerful and very appropriate for Memorial Day . . . S.L.



"There is no greater love than this, that a man should lay down his life for his friends." - John 15:13


Remember them this Memorial Day, and every day.

Every single one of them...

STORMBRINGER SENDS

Sunday, May 25, 2014

Terrific Photos of a Beautiful State

Just click here.

Two Storms; Two Views

UPDATE: 6:41PM: These weakened before they reached our home. Only 0.10 inches.
Still, we've done very well since Thursday. Storm total: 2.49 inches. 

Visually, about ten minutes ago, I could see two thunderstorms to my southwest.

And, here is what they looked like on radar:
I turned the radar upside down so you could more readily compare the closer (yellow) and farther (orange) storms. 

A New Cloud Formation?

I've never seen a cloud arch before.
From my location it appeared to be continuous cloud for the entire 180 degrees.

Today's Texas Tornado Watch

Note the potential for large hail is "high" and ≥2" is "moderate." Even if you don't get a tornado, the possibility of 60 mph or higher winds is moderate. Put your car in the garage, bring in trampolines and lawn furniture and other things that might blow around.

Twenty-Four Notes


Each Memorial Day Weekend Fox News Sunday features "Bugles Across America." It is a volunteer organization that makes up for the shortage of military buglers and attempts to insure that every military funeral has live Taps. You can learn more about them here.

God bless every member of the U.S. military, past and present, this Memorial Day weekend.

What We Do at AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions

The full article is here.

Saturday, May 24, 2014

Five Inches Over the Next Five Days

The generous rains are forecast to continue by the National Weather Service:

Here is an estimate of rainfall since the drought-easing system moved in.

The Size of the Radar Echo Doesn't Matter

Shower brought us 0.63 inches in less than 45 minutes. 

Absolutely pouring at The Smith House.

The tiny, but strong, radar echo bringing the rain.

Tornado Watch Out

Watch out until 9pm Mountain time.

Today's Tornado and Hail Threat

This map shows the tornado potential with 5% the significant threshold. 

This is the probability of 1" or larger hail. The hatched area is where hail 2" or larger may fall. Recommend putting your car in the garage if thunderstorms approach.
I will be doing periodic severe weather updates this holiday weekend.

Glorious Rain! Day 4 of Drought Improvement

Click to enlarge and show caption. National Weather Service map
The above is rainfall of the last four days. The Smith House had a whopping 2.60 which doubled the amount of rain we have had in 2014.

The rains continue in the drought region. Here is the current AccuWeather Regional Radar:

And, here is the forecast additional rainfall for the next seven days:
NWS